George Column

2012-01-28 10:00:00喬治鎊

第84屆奧斯卡得獎預測和個人選擇 Oscar Winner Predictions & Personal Picks

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最佳影片

將贏：大藝術家；該贏：雨果的冒險；最該贏：分居風暴

Best Picture

Will win: The Artist; should win: Hugo; most deserved to win: A Separation

最佳導演

將贏：米謝哈札納彼席伍大藝術家；該贏：馬丁史柯西斯雨果的冒險、泰倫斯馬立克永生樹；最該贏：阿斯哈法哈帝分居風暴、泰倫斯馬立克永生樹

Directing

Will win: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist; should win: Martin Scorsese for Hugo, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life; most deserved to win: Asghar Farhadi for A Separation, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life

最佳男主角

將贏：喬治克隆尼繼承人生；該贏：蓋瑞歐德曼諜影行動？；最該贏：萊恩葛斯林任何他在裡面的東西(伊娃曼德斯除外)、麥克法斯班德和他隆重現身的大(？)老弟威力法斯班德性愛成癮的男人？

Actor in a Leading Role

Will win: George Clooney in The Descendants; should win: Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy?; most deserved to win: Ryan Gosling in anything besides Eva Mendes, Michael Fassbender and his unleashed big(?) little brother Willy Fassbender in Shame?

最佳女主角

將贏：梅莉史翠普鐵娘子：堅固柔情；該贏：都該？；最該贏：尹靜姬生命之詩

Actress in a Leading Role

Will win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady; should win: all?; most deserved to win: Yun Jeong-Hie in Poetry

最佳男配角

將贏：克里斯多佛柏麥新手人生；該贏：同上；最該贏：同上

Actor in a Supporting Role

Will win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners; should win: as above; most deserved to win: as above

最佳女配角

將贏：阿克泰薇亞史班瑟姊妹；該贏：梅麗莎麥卡錫伴娘我最大；最該贏：莎芮巴亞特分居風暴

Actress in a Supporting Role

Will win: Octavia Spencer in The Help; should win: Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids; most deserved to win: Sareh Bayat in A Separation

最佳外語片

將贏：拉札先生；很可能沒天理地落敗之最最最該贏：分居風暴

Foreign Language Film

Will win: Monsieur Lazhar; should win and most definitely deserved to win but probably is going to lose out outrageously: A Separation

最佳原著劇本

將贏：伍迪艾倫午夜•巴黎；該贏：阿斯哈法哈帝分居風暴；最該贏：李滄東生命之詩、阿斯哈法哈帝分居風暴

Original Screenplay

Will win: Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris; should win: Asghar Farhadi for A Separation; most deserved to win: Lee Chang-Dong for Poetry, Asghar Farhadi for A Separation

最佳改編劇本

將贏：亞歷山大培恩、納特法克森、吉姆拉許繼承人生；該贏：薛文、柴利安、索金魔球、繼承人生？；最該贏：培卓阿莫多瓦、阿古斯汀阿莫多瓦切膚慾謀

Adapted Screenplay

Will win: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash for The Descendants; should win: Chervin, Zaillian & Sorkin for Moneyball, The Descendants?; most deserved to win: Pedro Almodóvar & Agustín Almodóvar for The Skin I Live In

最佳動畫長片

將贏：飆風雷哥；該贏：從缺；最該贏：從缺

Animated Feature

Will win: Rango; should win: none; most deserved to win: none

最佳藝術指導

將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：雨果？最該贏：諜影行動？

Art Direction

Will win: Hugo; should win: Hugo?; most deserved to win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy?

最佳攝影

將、該、最該贏：永生樹

Cinematography

Will, should and most deserved to win: The Tree of Life

最佳服裝設計

將贏：大藝術家；該贏：大藝術家？雨果？；最該贏：尚保羅高提耶切膚慾謀之舒適貼身護皮衣和勇猛老虎裝

Will win: The Artist; should win: The Artist? Hugo?; most deserved to win: comfy, perfectly-fit & skin-protected suit and fierce tiger outfit in The Skin I Live In by Jean-Paul Gautier

最佳影片剪輯

將贏：大藝術家？該贏：都該？最該贏：落日車神、分居風暴

Film Editing

Will win: The Artist?; should win: all?; most deserved to win: Drive, A Separation

最佳原創配樂

將贏：大藝術家；該贏：大藝術家？最該贏：亞歷山大岱斯普拉被忽略的一卡車作品

Original Score

Will win: The Artist; should win: The Artist?; most deserved to win: a bunch of neglected works by Alexandre Desplat

最佳原創歌曲

將贏：既然只有兩首乾脆並得；該贏：既然只有兩首乾脆暫停本項目；最該得：最佳選用歌曲：“Nightcall” 落日車神、最佳翻唱歌曲：“Immigrant Song” 千禧三部曲I：龍紋身的女孩

Original Song

Will win: tie since only two are nominated; should win: pause the category since only two are nominated; most deserved to win: Best Selected Song: "Nightcall" from Drive; Best Covered Song: "Immigrant Song" from The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

最佳化妝

將贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；該贏：同上；最該贏：強•艾德格之老胡佛妝？瑪姬史密斯凳母之老臉永駐化妝師

Makeup

Will win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; should win: as above; most deserved to win: the old Hoover makeup in J. Edgar? Dame Maggie Smith's everlasting old makeup artist

最佳混音

將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：雨果？；最該贏：落日車神、永生樹、波米叔叔的前世今生(請列入考量)

Sound Mixing

Will win: Hugo; should win: Hugo?; most deserved to win: Drive, The Tree of Life, Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives(FYC)

最佳聲音剪輯

將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：落日車神；最該贏：落日車神

Sound Editing

Will win: Hugo; should win: Drive; most deserved to win: Drive

最佳視覺效果

將贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；該贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；最該贏：哈利波特全系列

Visual Effects

Will win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; should win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; most deserved to win: the Harry Potter franchise

紀錄長片、紀錄短片、實境短片、動畫短片略。

Not inc. Documentary Feature, Documentary Short, Live-Action Short, Animated Short

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