2004-01-28 00:07:02georgehm

奧斯卡提名名單+估計+極簡短解釋(2nd Revised)

附有毫無根據胡吹估計+說明
*代表看過

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Johnny Depp - PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
(魔盜王—決戰鬼盜船)
Ben Kingsley - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Jude Law - COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
*Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION(迷失東京)(希望)
*Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)(估計)
假如有關當局突然括達起來,以及Sean Penn先生願意到場,Sean Penn。不過機會不大,故獎仍會到達Bill Murray之手,未看《Lost in Translation》都這樣說
27/2:由於震撼地Sean Penn會出席頒獎禮,估計變成Sean Penn,雖然他在21 Grams的演出更好,而個人亦偏向Lost in Translation的Bill Murray

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Alec Baldwin - THE COOLER
*Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS(21克—生命可以有多重?)
Djimon Hounsou - IN AMERICA
*Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)(估計+希望)
Ken Watanabe - THE LAST SAMURAI(最後武士)
Tim Robbins超熱,所以也應該有獎一個。希望還希望,你真的覺得渡邊謙會拿獎嗎?雖然《The Last Samurai》一片我還未看
黃Sir(秋生)在去年一專訪云﹕「講真一個外國人羅乜鬼(拿什麼)奧斯卡?羅(拿)到只代表得獎者是低手中的高手,高手中的高手係冇(無)獎,我不是說我自己,不要誤會,我只是說我想做高手中的高手而已。」

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Keisha Castle-Hughes - WHALE RIDER
Diane Keaton - SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE(玩轉男人心)
Samantha Morton - IN AMERICA
Charlize Theron - MONSTER(估計)
*Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS(21克—生命可以有多重?)
Nicole Kidman偕前夫Tom Cruise雙雙落第,Charlize Theron機會立即(再)暴升,Diane Keaton衰於《Something's Gotta Give》真的是喜劇(相對於《Lost in Translation》)。

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Shohreh Aghdashloo - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Patricia Clarkson - PIECES OF APRIL
*Marcia Gay Harden - MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)
Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)(估計)
高興Marcia Gay Harden(《Mystic River》中演Tim Robbins之妻子)榜上有名,好像之前不少頒獎禮也欠了份兒,但榮耀最終也歸Renée Zellweger,《Cold Mountain》她演得好不好我不知,只知上兩次她都輸了,是合適時候補頒獎項(補頒事件可參考在《The Hours》三個女主角相對演得最差的Nicole Kidman因之前未能憑《Moulin Rouge》奪獎而獲補頌最佳女主角一事)

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
BROTHER BEAR(熊之歷險)
*FINDING NEMO(海底奇兵)(估計)
*THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE(瘋狂約會美麗都)
是時候Pixar夥同Disney首次奪獎了!

ART DIRECTION
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING(畫意詩情)
THE LAST SAMURAI(最後武士)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
純粹希望

CINEMATOGRAPHY
*CITY OF GOD(無主之城)(希望)
COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING(畫意詩情)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
希望《City of God》「爆冷」

COSTUME DESIGN
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING(畫意詩情)
THE LAST SAMURAI(最後武士)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
純粹希望

DIRECTING
*CITY OF GOD(無主之城)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(估計+希望)
*LOST IN TRANSLATION(迷失東京)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
*MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)
唯一一項五套也有看。相信奧斯卡評審會考慮累積分!

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BALSEROS
CAPTURING THE FRIEDMANS
THE FOG OF WAR
MY ARCHITECT
THE WEATHER UNDERGROUND
無意見,也不亂估了!

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
ASYLUM
CHERNOBYL HEART
FERRY TALES
無意見,也不亂估了!

FILM EDITING
*CITY OF GOD(無主之城)(希望)
COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
這個獎我夠膽說外來的《City of God》有機會,欲知原因請看影片中犯毒屋一段

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS(蠻夷美利堅)
EVIL
*THE TWILIGHT SAMURAI(黃昏清兵衛)(估計+希望)
TWIN SISTERS
ŽELARY
德國的《Goodbye, Lenin》失蹤,金球獎得獎那套《Osama》榜上無名,《City of God》不合資格,全部大熱同時倒灶的情況下著實難估。只好說《The Last Samurai》或令美國興起日本武士道熱潮,山田洋次執導以及同樣有真田廣之參演的《黃昏清兵衛》應該機會最大

MAKEUP
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
(魔盜王—決戰鬼盜船)
純粹估計

MUSIC (SCORE)
BIG FISH(大魚奇緣)
*COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
*FINDING NEMO(海底奇兵)
HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
純粹估計

MUSIC (SONG)
*"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(估計)
"A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A MIGHTY WIND
"Scarlet Tide" - COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
*"The Triplets of Belleville" - THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE(獨狂約會美麗都)(希望)
"You Will Be My Ain True Love" - COLD MOUNTAIN(亂世情天)
印象是「The Triplets of Belleville」深很多,對「In the West」的記憶比首部曲Enya那首「May It Be」少好多,但《The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King》大熱

BEST PICTURE
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(估計+希望)
*LOST IN TRANSLATION(迷失東京)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
*MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
相信奧斯卡評審會考慮累積分!

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
BOUNDIN'
DESTINO
GONE NUTTY
HARVIE KRUMPET
NIBBLES
無意見,也不亂估了!

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
DIE ROTE JACKE (The Red Jacket)
MOST (The Bridge)
SQUASH
(A) TORZIJA ([A] Torsion)
TWO SOLDIERS
無意見,也不亂估了!

SOUND
THE LAST SAMURAI(最後武士)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
(魔盜王—決戰鬼盜船)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
無話可說

SOUND EDITING
*FINDING NEMO(海底奇兵)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)(希望)
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
(魔盜王—決戰鬼盜船)
唯有希望《MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD》

VISUAL EFFECTS
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(希望)
*MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD(軍天勇將﹕戰海豪情)
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
(魔盜王—決戰鬼盜船)
無話可說

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
AMERICAN SPLENDOR
*CITY OF GOD(無主之城)
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING(魔戒三部曲—王者再臨)(估計)
*MYSTIC RIVER(懸河殺機)
SEABISCUIT(壯志奔騰)
相信奧斯卡評審會考慮累積分

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS(蠻夷美利堅)
*DIRTY PRETTY THINGS(天使夜驚情)
*FINDING NEMO(海底奇兵)
IN AMERICA
*LOST IN TRANSLATION(迷失東京)(估計)
我都同意,以"無劇情"的《Lost in Translation》值得拿最佳改編劇本